NFL Week 4 prop party: Baker ready to feast on Eagles again
Week 4 of the NFL season is another opportunity to dive face-first into our prop party, where we've danced our way into a winning record through three weeks. Although there's a seemingly unlimited number of options in each game's prop market, we sift through them all and target our five favorite props and touchdown scorers each week.
If you are looking for game picks for Sunday's slate, we have you covered here.
π Check out a full selection of player props on ESPN BET and theScore Bet here
π Bet: Over 221.5 passing yards
Mayfield and the Buccaneers have owned the Eagles recently, especially in Tampa Bay. The Bucs have won six of their last seven games against Philly - including two in Tampa Bay in 2024, in which Mayfield threw for 337 and 347 yards. The Bucs signal-caller averaged 264 yards per game last season.
The Eagles still have a young and somewhat unproven secondary and are dealing with injuries to their defense. Mayfield, who's already a high-volume passer, should drop back and successfully carve up Philadelphia yet again.
π Bet: Under 35.5 rushing yards
It didn't take long for Russell Wilson to implode, forcing a quarterback change in New York. Dart will debut Sunday against a 3-0 Chargers squad with an elite defense. Los Angeles has allowed the ninth-fewest rushing yards this season.
The rookie has the athletic prowess to become a great runner, but he might be wary of utilizing his legs in his first appearance. Dart reached 36 rushing yards in just 10 of his last 26 collegiate games.
π Bet: Under 50.5 rushing yards
The Panthers need Hubbard to establish the run to open up the passing game for Bryce Young. Hubbard's last outing was the only game where he averaged more than 4 yards per carry. He has a tough task against the Pats, who allow the second-fewest rushing yards per game.
π Bet: Over 89.5 receiving yards
Nacua is first in the NFL in receptions and yards. Nacua and Matthew Stafford are the league's top quarterback-receiver duo, as Stafford constantly looks in Nacua's direction and the wideout is averaging 111 yards per game. Oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted to Nacua's production. He should have another effective showing against the Colts.
π Bet: Under 224.5 passing yards
Lawrence has only eclipsed this mark once this season. Jacksonville's passing offense has often stumbled as Lawrence tries to find chemistry with his receivers. It doesn't help that the Jaguars are traveling to San Francisco to play the NFL's fifth-best passing defense. The 49ers haven't allowed a quarterback to throw for more than 225 yards yet this season.
π Check out a full selection of TD scorer props on ESPN BET and theScore Bet here
NFL news editor Brenden Deeg will provide touchdown scorer props all season long.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+185)
The 2024 first-round pick has looked great this season, leading all 49ers wideouts in targets (24), catches (16), and receiving yards (281). Pearsall faces a Jaguars defense that's allowed the second-most targets and third-most receptions to opposing wide receivers in 2025.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+210)
Baltimore's run defense is on an alarming and historic streak of futility right now, so we have to attack it Sunday. The Ravens are tied with the Titans for most rushing touchdowns allowed, with their defense ranking last in rushing success rate. We'll go with Hunt to punch one in; he's been Kansas City's go-to running back in the red zone and is the only Chiefs back with a rushing score this season.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+210)
The Texans' offense desperately needs a spark, and the rookie running back has flashed through three games. Marks saw over 47% of the offensive snaps in Week 3 and will likely get a bigger workload as the season goes on. The Titans have been gauged by opposing running backs this season, allowing the third-most rushing yards and tying for the most touchdowns allowed to the position this year.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+210)
We hit on Kincaid last week, and we're going right back to the well. The tight end ranks second on the Bills in targets (16), receptions (13), and receiving yards this season (151). New Orleans' defense ranks 29th in EPA/dropback, and as a 16.5-point favorite, Buffalo should light up the scoreboard.
π Bet: Anytime TD (+275)
Dating back to his time as the Eagles' starting quarterback, Wentz loves targeting his tight ends. Hockenson is one of the best in the league and has a great matchup in Dublin on Sunday. The Steelers have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards and the most touchdowns to opposing tight ends through three games.
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