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Faces in new places: Season-long betting totals for stars who changed teams

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It was a busy offseason for big names switching teams. Let's refresh our memories by looking at some of the stars who will don different uniforms in Week 1 and their betting totals for the 2024 season.

Kirk Cousins

Todd Kirkland / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Passing yards Passing TDs
2022 stats 4547 29
2024 betting totals 3975.5 27.5

Cousins only played eight games last season, so we'll look at his 2022 stats when comparing his 2024 betting totals.

On the surface, his passing total of 3,975.5 yards seems low. Ignoring last year's injury, he's surpassed that number in seven of his eight years as a starter. However, the Falcons have historically been a run-first team, which is likely why Cousins' total this year is so low. New head coach Raheem Morris may allow Cousins to sling it more than recent quarterbacks have, which would make sense given the offensive weapons Cousins has at his disposal.

Russell Wilson

Joe Sargent / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Passing yards Passing TDs
2023 stats 3070 26
2024 betting totals 2750.5 17.5

Wilson's move to Pittsburgh has oddsmakers less keen on his production for the 2024 season. The low totals are largely because Wilson isn't guaranteed to start Week 1, let alone the entire season.

While he'll likely be the starter to open the season, Justin Fields will be waiting in the wings if Wilson isn't getting the job done. With that said, Wilson surpassed 2,750.5 yards every season of his career and only failed to pass for 18 or more touchdowns once. Betting Wilson's season totals are wagers on how many games he'll start.

Saquon Barkley

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Rushing yards Rushing TDs
2023 stats 962 6
2024 betting totals 1050.5 6.5

Barkley may have been the biggest star to change teams, moving from the Giants to the division-rival Eagles.

There's a lot of optimism with Barkley behind the Eagles' offensive line, even with stalwart Jason Kelce no longer at center. Barkley has the second-highest rushing yard total behind only Christian McCaffery. He should have plenty of opportunities to rack up yards in the most explosive offense he's played in so far in his career. Barkley's success will ultimately come down to health, as it does for every running back in the league.

Derrick Henry

Cooper Neill / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Rushing yards Rushing TDs
2023 stats 1167 12
2024 betting totals 950.5 10.5

It'll be strange to see Henry in anything but a Titans jersey, but the bruising running back found a perfect landing spot with the Ravens. Lining King Henry up beside or behind Lamar Jackson gives Baltimore's ground game the true definition of a thunder-and-lightning tandem.

Henry surpassed 950.5 yards in five of the past six years, and the only year he didn't, he played eight games and still had 937 yards. He's also scored 11 or more touchdowns in the same five seasons he played more than eight games. However, he's 30 years old, an age that typically marks the downfall for running backs.

Josh Jacobs

Patrick McDermott / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Rushing yards Rushing TDs
2023 stats 805 6
2024 betting totals 950.5 7.5

Jacobs is two years removed from leading the NFL in rushing yards and heads to a far more promising spot with the Packers.

He's coming off the worst season of his career, averaging only 3.5 yards per carry in 13 games with the Raiders. However, Jacobs should slot seamlessly into the Aaron Jones role in Jordan Love's second year running the Packers' offense. Jacobs has the eighth-shortest odds (+1600) to lead the NFL in rushing yards.

Aaron Jones

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Rushing yards Rushing TDs
2023 stats 656 2
2024 betting totals 750.5 5.5

Speaking of Jones, he jumped in division from the Packers to the Vikings.

How Minnesota's offense will perform is a complete unknown, so backing Jones' player props is riskier than most. The Vikings will only be as good as their quarterback play, and between Sam Darnold and J.J. McCarthy, there's a wide range of potential outcomes.

Jones is turning 30 this season and only scored six or more rushing touchdowns three times in his seven-year career. There's plenty of reason to be concerned with Jones' output in his new uniform.

Joe Mixon

Tim Warner / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Rushing yards Rushing TDs
2023 stats 1034 9
2024 betting totals 825.5 5.5

After a seven-year stint with the Bengals, Mixon joined the Texans this offseason to bolster their offense led by rookie sensation C.J. Stroud.

Mixon has surpassed 825.5 yards in four of six seasons when he played at least 14 games. He scored over 5.5 rushing touchdowns in each of the last three seasons.

His role in Houston should be very similar to what it was in Cincinnati. He'll be on the field for the majority of the snaps in an offense with an elite quarterback and pass-catchers. The Texans won't rely on Mixon to carry the offensive load, but he should have plenty of room to operate when he does touch the ball.

Stefon Diggs

Tim Warner / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Rec. yards Rec. TDs
2023 stats 1183 8
2024 betting totals 950.5 6.5

Diggs was another of the Texans' key additions for Stroud's second year. The trio of Diggs, Nico Collins, and Tank Dell should give opposing defensive coordinators nightmares.

Diggs' totals for 2024 are much lower than his stats from last year, as he goes from the clear No. 1 option in Buffalo to a three-headed monster with no obvious top option.

With that said, you wouldn't trade for Diggs if you didn't plan on using him. He's recorded six straight seasons of 1,000 or more receiving yards and scored over 6.5 receiving touchdowns in six of his past seven seasons. If you believe Diggs hasn't lost a step, betting the overs on his props is certainly enticing.

Keenan Allen

Quinn Harris / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Rec. yards Rec. TDs
2023 stats 1243 7
2024 betting totals 775.5 4.5

Allen moved from the Chargers to the Bears to provide Caleb Williams with another top receiving option during his rookie year. You could argue that Allen and DJ Moore form one of the most sure-handed receiving duos in the NFL.

Allen's season totals are low because of Williams, not because of past production with the Chargers. In his last seven seasons in L.A., Allen surpassed 775.5 yards and scored five or more receiving touchdowns six times. The only season he failed to hit those numbers, he played 10 games.

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